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Date: 14/6/2007
The future has to be planned for but it is always uncertain. Futureskills Scotland’s labour market projections use past trends and events to provide an indication of what might happen in the future. They should not be viewed as facts waiting to happen but rather an indication of what might happen in the future. It is impossible to give detailed and wholly robust projections of the number of job openings in the future. The report presents a picture of how the labour market is expected to change between 2007 and 2017. It highlights the main historical trends between from the past two decades to provide a context for the projections and describes what the latest economic projections tell us about how employment will change in the future, highlighting the likely areas of growth and decline in both industries and occupations. It is likely in Scotland’s labour market in the future, there will be: - modest growth in the number of jobs;
- considerable demand for new employees to replace those who leave employment;
- employment growth concentrated in public and private service industries and in higher skilled and service orientated occupations;
- large number of jobs arising in service industries and managerial and professional occupations;
- increasing numbers of older workers; and
- increasing numbers of people obtaining higher levels of qualifications.
Publications available: - Summary report highlighting the main results from the labour market projections between 2007 and 2017;
- Technical report providing more detailed projections and further information on the model used to produce the projections;
- Downloadable data for the projections for both 2012 and 2017; and
- Briefing note on replacement demand.
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